On the
opinion page of the Catholic Peace Weekly, a senior journalist writes
about the decrease of the birth rate and the impact on society. He
recently attended a lecture at a high school and spoke with the
principal, teachers, and parents. At first, the conversation was about
the career path of the high school students but passed to the issue of
elementary and junior high schools in the countryside.
The
problem is the lack of students because of the low birth rate in the
country. One of the middle schools with the smallest number of students
was 13 and there are 16 staff members. At some other middle schools there
were only 18-35 students, in the past these schools had 300 to 500
students.
It
would seem that if the number of teachers and students were such that
you have one on one you would have more interest in the needs of each
student and more learning. One student's mother responded that people
who speak this way don't know what they are talking about.
When
you have so few students socializing is a problem and you are in a
situation where you are competing with friends from elementary school.
Parents have a problem with sending their children to such a school.
This is a problem not only in the country. This year's school
population was 8,240,000 which is a decrease of 5,444,000 from 1988.
In
June the Ministry of Education completed the evaluation of 323
universities nationwide including 40 colleges and vocational schools.
Universities that received bad grades in the second evaluation which
ends in August will be sanctioned and reduced in their capacity and
financial support ended.
The
reason is to reduce the admission quota of college students in line
with the decline in the school-age population. In 2015, the number
attending universities was 530,000 this will decrease to 240,000 in
2023. No signs of improvement in the future.
The
number of children born last year was only 358,000 and this year at
most 320,000. The number of babies born in April of this year was only
27,700 so this year the birth rate even lower than last year which was
the lowest recorded.
This
will also affect the universities run by the church. The question is
what will happen when the ripple effect reaches these schools. The
average number of new students in the seven Catholic seminaries
nationwide including the Catholic University is significantly below the
quotas. The average was 53% percent lower than the quota and in a few,
it was 30%. The recruitment rate occupies a large percentage of the
total score of 76 points in the evaluation.
Although
the Catholic and other religious groups claim that it is necessary to
consider the circumstances of each university since theology schools
only have one department; it is unlikely this will be accepted by the
Ministry of Education.
The
situation in the universities will continue to deteriorate with the
passage of time. The low birth rate will have serious repercussions and
one of the signs is when you have more staff than students. This will
require preemptive measures for Catholic seminaries with low recruitment
rates.