Last May, an interesting video was posted on the YouTube channel TED-Ed. It was a 5-minute video titled ‘Can AI predict someone’s breakup?’ posted by a professor at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. The video shows that artificial intelligence (AI) analyzes couples' data from an online search history, spending habits, marriage and divorce history, etc. can tell you the probability of divorce. The Professor says the probability of being correct is 95 percent. As the accuracy rate of artificial intelligence predictions continues to increase, more people may rely on artificial intelligence predictions unless they are willing to risk the expected failure.
Artificial intelligence for predicting life, as a whole, rather than just specific aspects such as divorce, has also been released. At the end of last year, a joint research team from the Technical University of Denmark and the University of Copenhagen developed an artificial intelligence model that predicts the human lifetime. The joint research team trained artificial intelligence on daily data, such as education, health, income, and occupation, of 6 million people in the Danish national data center to predict key elements of life such as future health and personality traits. This program was found to be particularly effective in predicting early mortality from ages 35 to 65 and also showed high accuracy in predicting personality changes. Researchers predict that this program will lead to a system that accurately predicts a person's entire life in the future.
Now, we have entered an era where when we wonder about the future or decide something, we ask artificial intelligence instead of going to a religious leader or shaman. As people use artificial intelligence, more data is accumulated, and the accuracy of predictions increases. Then, a question arises at this point. In the future, will artificial intelligence take the lead in predicting the future and will the role of religious leaders and shamans end? The writer was curious about how artificial intelligence answers this important question.
Artificial intelligence can predict events that are likely to occur in the future by analyzing past data and current trends. However, these predictions are not always accurate and involve uncertainty. For example, in fields as diverse as the stock market, weather, and economic trends, artificial intelligence uses predictive models to try to predict the future, but its accuracy is affected by data quality, model complexity, and external factors, etc. However, predictions are always probabilistic, and since all variables and volatility cannot be perfectly controlled, the results are always accompanied by a certain degree of uncertainty.
The important keyword in artificial intelligence is ‘data.’ Predictions are only possible if there is data, and predictions vary depending on the data. However, the predictions of religious leaders and shamans are not entirely dependent on data. Now he asks the second question.
What is the difference between future predictions made by religion and future predictions made by artificial intelligence? Both of them use fundamentally different methods and approaches. The difference between the two approaches can be explained as follows: Religion is based on spiritual and mystical experiences, and artificial intelligence is based on scientific data and statistical models. [Methodology: Religion relies on faith and intuition, but artificial intelligence relies on empirical data and algorithms.]
Religious predictions pursue religious and moral goals, while artificial intelligence predictions pursue practical and scientific goals.
Chronos and Kairos.
There are two words for time in ancient Greek. They are chronos and kairos. Chronos is chronological time. It is a general time concept such as day, month, year, etc. The word used to record events by date is chronos. Chronos is the promised time created by socialized humans. Kairos is quality time, a time of hope. Kairos is the good times that appear in life. Good times don't come at a certain time or on a certain day of the week. It may come suddenly like a thunderbolt. It can be created against the social order through human will.
There are two paths to the future. Kairos and Chronos. There is a future mentioned by religious leaders and shamans, and there is a future predicted by artificial intelligence based on data. The two solutions are not completely separate. Sometimes they overlap and sometimes they appear separate. The two paths coexist within an individual or within a group. There are times when one stands out more than the other. It is not the future predictions of artificial intelligence that give hope to life when you are economically poor and things are not getting better. The future presented by artificial intelligence is bound to be bleak. However, the future offered by Kairos is a message of hope. You can create your future through prayer or through faith that seems groundless but will come true. In this way, humans have two ways of reckoning time and two futures. We have a future that artificial intelligence does not have.
